Paul Krugman, The big bad event of last week was, of course,
the Supreme Court hearing on health reform. In the course of that hearing it
became clear that several of the justices, and possibly a majority, are
political creatures pure and simple, willing to embrace any argument, no matter
how absurd, that serves the interests of Team Republican.
But we should not allow events in the court to
completely overshadow another, almost equally disturbing spectacle. For on
Thursday Republicans in the House of Representatives passed what was surely the
most fraudulent budget in American history.
And when I say fraudulent, I mean just that. The
trouble with the budget devised by Paul Ryan, the chairman of the House Budget
Committee, isn’t just its almost inconceivably cruel priorities, the way it
slashes taxes for corporations and the rich while drastically cutting food and
medical aid to the needy. Even aside from all that, the Ryan budget purports to
reduce the deficit — but the alleged deficit reduction depends on the completely
unsupported assertion that trillions of dollars in revenue can be found by
closing tax loopholes.
And we’re talking about a lot of
loophole-closing. As Howard Gleckman of the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center
points out, to make his numbers work Mr. Ryan would, by 2022, have to close
enough loopholes to yield an extra $700 billion in revenue every year. That’s a
lot of money, even in an economy as big as ours. So which specific loopholes
has Mr. Ryan, who issued a 98-page manifesto on behalf of his budget, said he
would close?
None. Not one. He has, however, categorically
ruled out any move to close the major loophole that benefits the rich, namely
the ultra-low tax rates on income from capital. (That’s the loophole that lets
Mitt Romney pay only 14 percent of his income in taxes, a lower tax rate than
that faced by many middle-class families.)
So what are we to make of this proposal? Mr.
Gleckman calls it a “mystery meat
budget,” but he’s being unfair to mystery meat. The truth is that
the filler modern food manufacturers add to their products may be disgusting —
think pink slime — but it nonetheless has nutritional value. Mr. Ryan’s empty
promises don’t. You should think of those promises, instead, as a kind of
throwback to the 19th century, when unregulated corporations
bulked out their bread with plaster of paris and flavored their beer
with sulfuric acid.
Come to think of it, that’s precisely the policy
era Mr. Ryan and his colleagues are trying to bring back.
So the Ryan budget is a fraud; Mr. Ryan talks
loudly about the evils of debt and deficits, but his plan would actually make
the deficit bigger even as it inflicted huge pain in the name of deficit
reduction. But is his budget really the most fraudulent in American history?
Yes, it is.
To be sure, we’ve had irresponsible and/or
deceptive budgets in the past. Ronald Reagan’s budgets relied on voodoo, on the
claim that cutting taxes on the rich would somehow lead to an explosion of
economic growth. George W. Bush’s budget officials liked to play bait and
switch, low-balling the cost of tax cuts by pretending that they were only
temporary, then demanding that they be made permanent. But has any major
political figure ever premised his entire fiscal platform not just on totally
implausible spending projections but on claims that he has a secret plan to
raise trillions of dollars in revenue, a plan that he refuses to share with the
public?
What’s going on here? The answer, presumably, is
that this is what happens when extremists gain complete control of a party’s
discourse: all the rules get thrown out the window. Indeed, the hard right’s
grip on the G.O.P. is now so strong that the party is sticking with Mr. Ryan
even though it’s paying a significant political price for his assault on
Medicare.
Now, the House Republican budget isn’t about to
become law as long as President Obama is sitting in the White House. But it has
been endorsed by Mr. Romney. And even if Mr. Obama is reelected, the
fraudulence of this budget has important implications for future political
negotiations.
Bear in mind that the Obama administration spent
much of 2011 trying to negotiate a so-called Grand Bargain with Republicans, a
bipartisan plan for deficit reduction over the long term. Those negotiations
ended up breaking down, and a minor journalistic industry has emerged as
reporters try to figure out how the breakdown occurred and who was responsible.
But what we learn from the latest Republican
budget is that the whole pursuit of a Grand Bargain was a waste of time and
political capital. For a lasting budget deal can only work if both parties can
be counted on to be both responsible and honest — and House Republicans have
just demonstrated, as clearly as anyone could wish, that they are neither.
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